那一场呼啸而过的青春
Foreign financial institutions bullish on China's hard-tech growth momentum_我的网站
一 |
原标题：创业板指半日跌超1% 零售板块逆市领涨受外围影响，三大指数开盘均跌超1%，沪指随后小幅回升，深成指弱势徘徊，创业板指跌幅则有所扩大。 
China's high-tech exports surged over 50 percent year on year in July, well ahead of the 17.8-percent growth in total exports, customs data showed. The export gains are being mirrored in investment flows, with foreign funds moving into Chinese technology stocks and global indices adding newly listed hard-tech companies.
Rob Subbaraman, head of global macro research and co-head of global markets research at Nomura, said China's low-cost and abundant electricity supply, growing talent pool and early lead in physical AI are driving the rapid development of its AI industry chain.
China's development of open-weight models could accelerate their adoption by businesses, allowing productivity gains from AI as a general-purpose technology to spread more quickly across the economy, he said, citing models from Chinese firms including DeepSeek and Moonshot AI.
"The lower cost of these models was another advantage," he said, adding that the benefits could extend beyond China, particularly to emerging markets that could adopt cheaper Chinese AI models.
China's strength in advanced manufacturing has also become increasingly evident, said Robin Xing, chief China economist at Morgan Stanley, pointing to China's roughly half share of global installed new energy storage capacity and the rapid growth in outbound licensing deals for innovative drugs. These trends, he said, underpin the long-term investment case for China's hard-tech sector and leading manufacturers.
These strengths are increasingly being reflected in foreign investors' allocation decisions. This year, Goldman Sachs has twice raised its 12-month target for the CSI 300 on improving earnings momentum, and retained an overweight view on Chinese equities.
Kinger Lau, chief China equity strategist for Goldman Sachs Research, said the bank's positive view reflected improving earnings momentum, favorable macroeconomic and liquidity conditions. A-share equities offered international investors diversification benefits that remained underappreciated, along with attractive exposure to hard-tech and AI themes, he added.
Individual companies are drawing overseas interest too.
ChangXin Memory Technologies surged 465.82 percent on its debut on Shanghai's STAR Market last month, reaching a market capitalization of more than 3.2 trillion yuan (about 471.28 billion U.S. dollars).
U.S.-based Tema ETFs made the chipmaker a top holding at a 10.56 percent weight on its debut day, while MSCI officially added it to its China All Shares Index on Monday under a fast-track rule for large IPOs.
Robotics is where the enthusiasm is most visible. Unitree, set to become China's first mainland-listed humanoid robot maker, priced its Shanghai IPO at 150.8 yuan a share, representing 10 percent of its post-offering share capital. The offering is expected to raise about 6.1 billion yuan in gross proceeds.
That optimism, however, exists alongside broader economic pressures. Nathan Chow, senior economist at DBS Bank, said the imbalance between relatively strong supply and weak demand remained pronounced, with household consumption and some companies' profitability still under pressure.
Investment in infrastructure could help offset the weakness in private investment in the near term, while lowering logistics and energy costs and improving the efficiency of resource allocation over the longer term, Chow said. It could also strengthen supply chains and reduce the economy's exposure to external shocks and geopolitical risks, he added.
The implementation of policy measures would be key to sustaining the recovery in the second half of this year, analysts noted.
Economic management requires both easing the brakes and stepping on the accelerator, said Song Yu, chief China economist at UBS Securities, adding that faster fiscal spending and the use of bond proceeds, additional policy support and better coordination between fiscal and financial policies are needed, alongside measures to remove barriers to household consumption and improve the business environment.
"With stronger policy support and measures taking effect, China's economy is expected to maintain a steady recovery in the second half of the year," Chow said.
。截至午间收盘，上证指数跌1.02%，报3230.49点。深证成指跌1.50%，报11745.14点。创业板指跌2.01%，报2499.35点。沪深两市所有交易个股涨跌比为681：4155，两市涨停31家，跌停3家。个股方面，目前涨停股部分如下：中百集团(10.07%)、浙江永强(10.08%)、锦州港(10.03%)、中远海特(10.00%)、美邦服饰(9.83%)。从盘面上看，行业板块大部分下跌。零售、燃气、港口航运板块领涨，化学原料、电力、汽车服务等领跌。燃气方面，24种产品价格上涨，26种下降。其中，液化石油气（LPG）比上期上涨3%。美国通胀及利率对A股是次要矛盾，A股市场自7月以来的结构市回摆，震荡下行，仍在继续。交易结构失衡得到修正后的短期企稳属于反弹性质，市场结构偏向均衡，但主线不清晰。结构市的回摆期，至少回吐50%的涨幅，挑选个股盈利的概率不超过20%。
。China's high-tech exports surged over 50 percent year on year in July, well ahead of the 17.8-percent growth in total exports, customs data showed. The export gains are being mirrored in investment flows, with foreign funds moving into Chinese technology stocks and global indices adding newly listed hard-tech companies.
Rob Subbaraman, head of global macro research and co-head of global markets research at Nomura, said China's low-cost and abundant electricity supply, growing talent pool and early lead in physical AI are driving the rapid development of its AI industry chain.
China's development of open-weight models could accelerate their adoption by businesses, allowing productivity gains from AI as a general-purpose technology to spread more quickly across the economy, he said, citing models from Chinese firms including DeepSeek and Moonshot AI.
"The lower cost of these models was another advantage," he said, adding that the benefits could extend beyond China, particularly to emerging markets that could adopt cheaper Chinese AI models.
China's strength in advanced manufacturing has also become increasingly evident, said Robin Xing, chief China economist at Morgan Stanley, pointing to China's roughly half share of global installed new energy storage capacity and the rapid growth in outbound licensing deals for innovative drugs. These trends, he said, underpin the long-term investment case for China's hard-tech sector and leading manufacturers.
These strengths are increasingly being reflected in foreign investors' allocation decisions. This year, Goldman Sachs has twice raised its 12-month target for the CSI 300 on improving earnings momentum, and retained an overweight view on Chinese equities.
Kinger Lau, chief China equity strategist for Goldman Sachs Research, said the bank's positive view reflected improving earnings momentum, favorable macroeconomic and liquidity conditions. A-share equities offered international investors diversification benefits that remained underappreciated, along with attractive exposure to hard-tech and AI themes, he added.
Individual companies are drawing overseas interest too.
ChangXin Memory Technologies surged 465.82 percent on its debut on Shanghai's STAR Market last month, reaching a market capitalization of more than 3.2 trillion yuan (about 471.28 billion U.S. dollars).
U.S.-based Tema ETFs made the chipmaker a top holding at a 10.56 percent weight on its debut day, while MSCI officially added it to its China All Shares Index on Monday under a fast-track rule for large IPOs.
Robotics is where the enthusiasm is most visible. Unitree, set to become China's first mainland-listed humanoid robot maker, priced its Shanghai IPO at 150.8 yuan a share, representing 10 percent of its post-offering share capital. The offering is expected to raise about 6.1 billion yuan in gross proceeds.
That optimism, however, exists alongside broader economic pressures. Nathan Chow, senior economist at DBS Bank, said the imbalance between relatively strong supply and weak demand remained pronounced, with household consumption and some companies' profitability still under pressure.
Investment in infrastructure could help offset the weakness in private investment in the near term, while lowering logistics and energy costs and improving the efficiency of resource allocation over the longer term, Chow said. It could also strengthen supply chains and reduce the economy's exposure to external shocks and geopolitical risks, he added.
The implementation of policy measures would be key to sustaining the recovery in the second half of this year, analysts noted.
Economic management requires both easing the brakes and stepping on the accelerator, said Song Yu, chief China economist at UBS Securities, adding that faster fiscal spending and the use of bond proceeds, additional policy support and better coordination between fiscal and financial policies are needed, alongside measures to remove barriers to household consumption and improve the business environment.
"With stronger policy support and measures taking effect, China's economy is expected to maintain a steady recovery in the second half of the year," Chow said.
。截至午间收盘，上证指数跌1.02%，报3230.49点。深证成指跌1.50%，报11745.14点。创业板指跌2.01%，报2499.35点。沪深两市所有交易个股涨跌比为681：4155，两市涨停31家，跌停3家。个股方面，目前涨停股部分如下：中百集团(10.07%)、浙江永强(10.08%)、锦州港(10.03%)、中远海特(10.00%)、美邦服饰(9.83%)。从盘面上看，行业板块大部分下跌。零售、燃气、港口航运板块领涨，化学原料、电力、汽车服务等领跌。燃气方面，24种产品价格上涨，26种下降。其中，液化石油气（LPG）比上期上涨3%。美国通胀及利率对A股是次要矛盾，A股市场自7月以来的结构市回摆，震荡下行，仍在继续。交易结构失衡得到修正后的短期企稳属于反弹性质，市场结构偏向均衡，但主线不清晰。结构市的回摆期，至少回吐50%的涨幅，挑选个股盈利的概率不超过20%。
二 | 本轮周期，中国与美国经济与市场完全不同步，A股的核心矛盾不是担心估值下杀，而是景气稀缺。海外衰退预期上升对出口依赖型公司的盈利预测带来影响，而其它景气维持类资产在国内乃至全球资产中的稀缺性将进一步上升。在投资策略上，首选“高景气赛道、军品占比高、业绩增速快”的标的，次选“估值低分位，边际变化大”的标的，同时重点关注国改受益标的。欢迎大家在评论区补充留言。返回搜狐，查看更多责任编辑：
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